Just FYI, here is an interview with the CTO of Loewe who corroborates
that opinion. And this is a European. Unfortunately it's in German but I
hope you can read anyway:
http://www.eetimes.de/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=20800015
Quote:
Schaas: Grundsätzlich ist der DVB-Standard eine ziemlich zentrale
Angelegenheit. Das ist ein erfolgreiches Projekt weit über Europa hinaus.
--------------------------^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Das HDTV-Format muss in Europa ebenfalls dringend kommen. Die
Geräteindustrie ermuntert ständig die Programmanbieter, Schritte in dieser
Richtung zu unternehmen, bislang aber noch ohne durchschlagenden Erfolg.
Zusätzlich ist die Multimedia Home Platform (MHP) von großer Bedeutung.
end quote
I am familiar with Loewe, as I have serviced many of their TV sets...
(I had a TV repair shop).
He (Schaas) seems to be a bit unhappy that there is Viaccess(2), Seca(2),
and a few more crypto systems, if so he misunderstands the reason, this was
designed in.
Maybe he just does not want to pay the licensing.
As for HDTV, are YOU bothered by the lines in a 800x600 progressive display
on you PC (you must have a PC)?
I really think it will be difficult to sell HDTV here... mostly people are
happy with 720x576 PAL!
As for the TV with internet connection, I think he is wrong there too,
because there is not enough bandwidth atm.
Digital terrestial TV in Germany is being phased in right now, and I expect
the analog station to disappear.
In the old days Loewe sometimes had the latest technology in their TV sets,
but that is selling in a niche market, most people did not care WHAT was
in the set, more how it looked and worked.
Some one at Philips (he never mentions Philips research in flat panel, now
for example with droplets on 'TV paper', so he is likely a bit pissed
with the competition!) said about the(ir) first digital processing TVs
(I still remember this) 'What good is it to make signal processing digital
if all it gives is more hum in the sound'. And the Philips sets had analog
sound of extremely good quality. I know, I worked for them.
So, it is a one-sided interview, not very inspiring.
Companies like Grundig had a hard time, once were part of Philips, things
change...
It is indeed a very very difficulty market now that you can buy a TV with
teletext from the East for 200Euro!
You can say 'I want to manufacture here' but that would be the end of the
business.
Or you would have to have such an exceptional product, but the fun thing
with digital is that once the chipsets are out, EVERYBODY and their cat has
that 'exceptional' product!
Now we see China going EVD (new blue light DVD standard) and that may not
be the last time! When they came with CVD there was a big panic in Philips
and the answer was SVCD, not better, no, but different.
If you look at these aspects then wages will have to drop here, to make
manufacturing competitive, and same for the US, or no company will be left
here.
I get emails for software development from Russia for 10 Euro / hour.
They do it for you, very tempting!
I think Kerry in the US is also concerned with the job loss.
What is the alternative? War?
Start manufacturing weapons? The Bush way (Or Hitler did the same).
So, in the most positive view, economics would level out.
But in the more likely case perhaps there will be a shortage of resources,
now in Germany there is some big thing going on about alternative energy
sources, they even want to use coal, it will last longer then oil...
I did read 80 years for oil..
So, most likely is there will be a big fight, someone will start, after that
back to the tents and wood fire... climate change, one big movement of
people across the globe, we are lucky (I am) lived most of my life in peace
and without major natural catastrophes. Apres moi le deluge!
In the end the sun will go out, and the future generations better have found
a way out of here, else it is all over!
So what can be learned from this?: Have fun now.
JP